FuturesCom Investment Publications
Morning Comments, December 28,1998
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"Among the hazards of speculation the happening of the unexpected --I might even say the unexpectable - ranks high. There are certain chances that the most prudent man is justified in taking - chances that he must take if he wishes to be more than a mercantile mollusk--" Reminiscences of a Stock operator.

The Exchange Holiday Schedule is at the end of today's letter.
We will issue a New Bi-Weekly Investment Outlook II after the New Years holiday .

We Wish Everybody a Happy and Safe New Year !  

Morning Comments
December 27, 1998
7:15 AM 

On the Frenzied Forex Front

 

March Japanese-Yen

Nearby Support is at 8683 and 8668. Below that support is at 8647 and 8622.

Resistance is at 8747 and 8762 to 8777. A close over 8778 augurs for a test of 8856 to 8871. Above that sellers should appear at 8934 to 8963, traders can go short at 8934, risk a close over 8954 for three days in a row.

March D-Mark

Early Support is at 5957 to 5945, where day traders can buy for a bounce. At 5947 Risk 40 pts.

Resistance is at 5969 and 5995 then 6023. Beyond that resistance should appear near 6035. Trade Accordingly.

March Swiss

Nearby Support is at 7293 to 7281 and 7255 to 7242

Early Resistance is at 7328 and 7343. A Close over 7343 Is friendly for a test of 7414

March British Pound

Support is at 1.6550 and 1.6420.

Resistance is at 1.6890 and 1.6960. Traders can sell at 1.6960, for a turn lower risk a close over 171.34. Beyond that a trade to the 1.7310/ 17380 region is likely.

March Canadian Dollar

Support is at 6424 to 6417 day traders should buy at 6424 risk, 30 pts

Resistance is at 6474 and 656482 to 6509 an extended trade over 6509 is friendly and augurs for a test of 6577 to 6591.

Precious Metals

Feb. Gold recommended position long at 298.10

Support is at 287, a close under 287 is negative for a dip towards the 280 to 277.8 region where good buyers should surface.

Resistance is at 291 and 295,40 to 297.60.

 

March Copper:

Support is at 6540 and 6430

Resistance is at 6650 and 6735.

Jan. Platinum recommended position long at 356.7 and 342.5

Support is at 342. 5 and 337 to 333

Resistance is at 352 and 355 then 360 and 364.5

March Silver long 487.5

On the DownSide: Support is at 491 and 487 then 480.5.

On the Upside. Resistance is at 499 and 508.5 then 516 to 523.

The Exciting Energies

Feb. Crude recommended position long at 1118

Nearby Support is at 1105 to 1101 and 1096 Beneath that support is at 1080 and 1068 to 1058. Resistance is at 1130 and 1146 then 1155 and 1164 to 1169.

A close over 1171 is friendly

Feb. Unleaded Gas recommended position long at 3565

Support is at 3402 and 3345. Day traders can buy at 3410, risk 100 pts.

Resistance is at 3470 and 3545 then 3625 and 3680.

Feb. Heating Oil recommended position long at 3270

Nearby Support is at 3255. Below that support is at 3190 and 3102 to 3092.

Resistance is at 3390 and 3445. Beyond that resistance is at 3493 and 3544.

The Grande Grains

 

January Soybeans recommended position long at 575 1/2

Support is at 546 1/4 and 543 1/2 to 541 below that 529 should hold. 539 1/2

Resistance is at 549 1/2, a close over is friendly and augurs for a test of 553 1/2 and 557 1/2, A close over 557 1/2 indicates an eventual test of 571 to 574.

Jan Soybean Meal recommended position long at 150.50 and 144.50

Support is at 142.7 to 142.1, below that 138.8 should hold.

Resistance is at 145.7 beyond that 147.5 and 150 offer good resistance.

March Corn. Recommended position long at 226 and 219

Support at 218 and 216 1/2 then 212 1/2 Resistance is at 221 1/2 and 222 3/4 beyond that 226 1/4 offers resistance.

March Wheat recommended position long 288 and 278

Support is at 280 then 276 1/4 to 275

Resistance is at 285 and 288.

The Satisfying Softs

March Cotton recommended position long at 6510 and 6214

Resistance is 6023 then 6101. A close over 6023 is friendly Support is at 5967 and 5947 then 5890

March Sugar

Support is 754 and 747. Resistance is at 767 then 780 to 787,

March Coffee: Recommended position long at 114.50 and 113.60

On the downside, Early support is at 113.60/ 113.00 and the 112.75 region. Hearty Day traders can buy at 11275, risk 150 pts. Below that day traders should have buy orders resting at 110.25 to go long and hold...

On the Upside, Resistance should appear near 115.20 and 116.40 to 116.9-0 and 117.45. A close over 115.25 is friendly and augurs for a test of 116.40

Buy this Dip.

March Cocoa

Support is at 1383 to 1377. Resistance is at 1395 and 1423 then 1449

 

The Lively Livestock

Feb. Cattle

Resistance is at 6057 and 6092

Support is at 5992 then 5947 should hold.

Feb. Hogs

Resistance is at 3137. Above that resistance is at 3227, traders can sell at 3227 for a turn lower, risk a close over 3387 for two days in a row. Support is at 3077 and 3012 then 2977.

June Hogs recommended position long 4 at 4790.

Recommended Spread Long June Short Aug. at 625

April Hogs

Resistance is at 3757 and the 3772 region beyond that 3857 offers good resistance Support is at 3717 and 3672 then 3622 should contain a break

From the Frying Pan into the Fire--

Feb. Bellies Feb. Bellies recommended position long 2 at 4435, 1 at 4550, 1 at 4207 Support should appear near 4197, day traders can buy at 4197 for a bounce, below that 4162 and 4112 then 4042 offer good support. Resistance is at 4237. A close over 4237 is friendly and augurs for a test of 4317 to 4342. Beyond that

resistance is at 4477 and 4492..

March Bellies recommended position long 4 at 4165

The Sensational Stock and Bond Markets

March Bonds

On The DownSide, nearby support is at 125-25 and 125-21 below that 124-21 should hold.

On the Upside: Resistance is at 126-11 and 126-21, beyond that resistance is at

127-21 A close over 126-12 is friendly for a test of 127-21. Trade Accordingly.

March SP500 recommended position short at 1183.70

On the DownSide, Nearby Support at 1238 and 1232.90 to 1232 a close under 1232 is negative and indicates a test of 1218 and 1203. On the Upside, Resistance is at 1243 then 1253 offer resistance. Stay Tuned for SP500 Updates and Flashes.

Traders should prepare for a decent decline shortly

A ship in Harbor is Safe.. But that's not what ships are built for.

Happy Trading

Bill

12/27/98 10:07 AM

Copyright@1998 FuturesCom Investment Publications

All Rights Reserved

FuturesCom is Not Responsible for Transmission Errors and Omissions.

THIS PUBLICATION CONTAINS THE VIEW AND OPINIONS OF THE AUTHOR, EXCEPT WHERE OPINIONS ARE ATTRIBUTED TO OTHER SOURCES. WRITTEN PERMISSION IS. REQUIRED PRIOR TO ANY DISTRIBUTION OR REPRODUCTION. FUTURES TRADING IS RISKY AND CAN CAUSE SUBSTANTIAL FINANCIAL LOSS. THE USE OF OPTIONS AND OPTION TRADING INVOLVES A HIGH DEGREE OF RISK. THE USE OF STOPS MAY NOT LIMIT LOSSES TO INTENDED AMOUNTS. SPREAD POSITIONS MAY NOT BE LESS RISKY THAN OUTRIGHT FUTURES POSITIONS. PAST RESULTS ARE NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. SOURCES ARE BELIEVED TO BE RELIABLE BUT NO ASSURANCE IS MADE FOR ACCURACY. ADDITIONAL RISK DISCLOSURE IS AVAILABLE.

 

NEW YEARS HOLIDAY SCHEDULE

 

CBOT

Sunday, December 27

Project A overnight session will reopen.

 

Thursday, December 31

All financial, electricity, and insurance contracts will close at

1:00 p.m. Stock index contracts will have a normal schedule.

Agricultural and metal contracts will close at 12:10 p.m. The

afternoon Project A and overnight Project A sessions will be closed.

Friday, January 1, 1999

All CBOT trading sessions will be closed.

Sunday, January 3

The Project A overnight session will reopen.

**Note** For concurrently ("side-by-side") traded financial futures

closing times apply for both open outcry and Project A sessions.

CSCE, NYCE

December 31

CSCE and NYCE - Half Trading Day

NYFE - 16:15 Close

FINEX - 13:00 Close

NYMEX & COMEX

December 24 December 31

Closing Range Closing Range

Palladium Futures 12:58-13:00 12:58-13:00

Platinum Futures & Options 13:08-13:10 13:08-13:10

Heating Oil Futures & Options 12:58-13:00 12:58-13:00

Unleaded Gas Futures & Options 12:58-13:00 12:58-13:00

Crude Oil Futures 12:58-13:00 12:58-13:00

Natural Gas Futures & Options 12:58-13:00 12:58-13:00

Copper Futures & Options 12:59-13:00 12:59-13:00

Silver Futures & Options 13:04-13:05 13:04-13:05

Gold Futures & Options 13:09-13:10 13:09-13:10

CME

Sunday, December 27, 1998

ETH: Globex2 opens at 5:30 p.m.

 

 

Thursday, December 31, 1998

RTH: 12:00 noon closing for Agricultural, Currency,

and Interest Rate products

Normal closing for GSCI and Equity products

ETH: Normal closing for E-Mini S&P 500

Friday, January 1, 1999

RTH: Trading Floor is closed

ETH: No Globex2 Session

Sunday, January 3, 1999

ETH: Globex2 opens at 5:30 p.m.