FuturesCom Investment Publications
Morning Comments , Jan 21,1999
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Bonds.. SP500.. Forex.. Precious Metals.. Energies..Grains.. Livestock.. Softs
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"A man can have great mathematical ability and unusual power of accurate observation and yet fail in speculation unless he also possesses the experience and memory. "
-Reminiscences of a Stock operator- 

01/22/1999 6:10 AM

On the Frenzied Forex Front

March Japanese-Yen

Support is at 8804 then 8777 to 8762 and 8742, where traders should buy for a good bounce at 8742. Risk a close under 8734 for three days in a row.

Resistance is at 8856 to 8871 , day traders can sell at 8862 , risk 60 pts. beyond that resistance is at 8934 to 8964. Above that sellers should appear at 9019 then 9044 to 9060. Traders can go short at 9044, risk a close over 9060 for two days in a row.

March D-Mark

Support is at 5903 to 5899 and 5855. Traders can buy at 5865 for a good bounce, initially risk a close under 5855 for three days in a row.

Resistance is at 5942 then 5953. A close over augurs for a test of 6003 and 6023 to 6035. Traders can go short for a quick turn lower at 6022, risk a close over 6042 for three days in a row.

March Swiss

Support is at 7259 to 7242 and 7201. Day traders can buy at 7255 for turn higher. Below that support should appear near 7201 and 7170, traders can go long at 7170 and hold for higher prices.

Resistance is at 7301. Above that resistance is near 7328 then 7351 to 7359.

March British Pound

Support is at 1.6486 and 1.6420. Day traders can buy at 1.6486 ..

Resistance is at 1.6550, an extended trade over 1.6640 indicates a likely test of 1.6720.

March Canadian Dollar recommended position short 6572

Support should appear at 65998 to 6591 and 6582 to 6577. Below that support should appear near 6532. Resistance is at 6627 to 6532 and 6657. Traders can short at 6627 for a good turn lower, risk a close over 6677 for three days in a row.

 

Precious Metals

April Gold recommended position Long 2 at 295.70

Support is near 287.8 below that 282 should hold.

Resistance is near 292.6 and 294.3.

March Copper: recommended position long at 6590

Support is at 6605 and 6575. Below that Buyers should surface near 6510 to 6480.

Traders can go long at 6510 and hold for higher prices.

Resistance is at 6675 and 6740 to 6755. A close over 6755 indicates a test of 6865 to 6920. Beyond that resistance is near 7035 and 7070 to 7085. Traders can go short for a turn lower at 7035, risk as close over 7090 for three days in a row. Beyond that 7140 to 7170 offers resistance.

April Platinum recommended position long at 366.5 and 362.5

Support should appear near 351. and 349.5 below that 343.1 should bring out

buyers. Below that 340.4 offers support and should contain a break.

Resistance is at 361 to 362. However a close over 359.5 is friendly and indicates a test of 365.1 and 372.

Traders should go long if a close over 359.5 occurs, risks a close back under 349.

March Silver long 2 at 525 and 506

On the DownSide: Nearby Support is at 511 and 506.8 Below that good buyers should appear near 496 and 480.5. Traders should buy at 485.5, risk a close under 480 for three days in a row.

On the Upside. Resistance is at 519.5 to 521, a close over 521 is friendly and

augurs for a likely test of the 531 region. Beyond that good sellers should appear

near 541. Beyond that 555 to 560 should stop a rally for a bit. Traders should go long if a close over 521 occurs. Buy Dips...

The Exciting Energies

March Crude recommended position long at 1246

Nearby Support is at 1262 and 1246 under that 1221 to 1212 should hold,

day traders can buy at 1232 for a bounce.

Resistance is at 1268 to 1274. Beyond that a test of 1296 to 1304 /1319 and 1334 is likely Trade Accordingly

 

March Unleaded Gas recommended position long at 3585

Support is at 3602. Below that support is at 3505. Under that the 3340 region should hold. Resistance is at 3705. A close over 3745 is friendly and augurs for an eventual test of the 3850 to 3865 region.

March Heating Oil recommended position long at 3245

Support is at 3245 and 3165 to 3155.

Resistance is at 3355. A close over 3355 augurs for a test of 3490 to 3503 and most likely the 3613 /3623 region. Trade Accordingly.

The Grande Grains

March Soybeans

Support is at 527 to 524, day traders can buy at 526 for a bounce, risk 5 cents. Below that 519 should contain a break.

Resistance is at 533. A close over 532 is friendly and augurs for a test of 537 to 539

March Soybean Meal

Support is at 130.5 below that 127.4 to 126.8 should hold. Traders can buy at 127.4 and hold for higher prices.

Resistance is at 133.5 to 134.6, a close over 134.6 indicates a test of 137.7 to 138.3. traders can go long if a close over 134.6 occurs. Risk a close under 133.4 for two days in a row.

March Soybean Oil

Support is at 2322 to 2315 and 2275 to 2262, traders can go long for a good turn higher at 2275, risk a close under 2251 for three days in a row. Below that the 2236 to 2219 region should contain a decline for a bit.

Resistance is at 2346 to 2358 then 2365 and 2379, Traders can go short at 2379 for a turn lower, risk a close over 2419 for three days in a row. Beyond that resistance is at 2461 to 2469.

March Corn recommended position long at 212 3/4

Support at 213 and 209.

Resistance is at 217 3/4 and 219 1/4 beyond that 222 3/4 offers resistance

Traders can go short at 221 3/4 for a quick turn lower, risk a close over 227 3/4 beyond that a test of 231 1/2 is likely.

March Wheat recommended position long 2 at 281

Support is at 269 3/4 Below that 264 to 263 offers support and should bring out buyers Resistance is at 275 3/4, a close over augurs for a test of the 282 3/4 and

eventually 287.

The Satisfying Softs

March Cotton recommended position long at 5940

Resistance should appear near 5960 and 6023 then 6055. A close over 6055 augurs for a test of 6098 to 6113 then 6140 and eventually the 6165 to 6195 region.

Support is at 5898. Below that 5865 to 5855 should hold and be bought , day traders can buy at 5860 , risk 30 pts. Under that 5805 to 5792 should contain the decline for a bit.

Traders should go long if a close over 6023 occurs.

March Sugar recommended position long at 795

Support is at 735 to 731

Resistance is at 763 and 768

 

March Coffee: recommended position 112.15

On the downside, support is at 105.80 to 105.25 and 105.05 which offers good

support as does 103.60 to 103.20. Hearty traders should go long at 103.75 and hold for higher prices. Below that 102.50 should hold.

On the Upside, Resistance should appear near 106.80 then 107.50 and 107.95.

A close over 107.95 is friendly and augurs for a test of 109.20 to 110.10.

March Cocoa

Nearby Support is at 1339 and 1319 to 1304. Traders can buy at 1319 for a turn higher, risk a close under 1304 for three days in a row. Below that 1290 to 1286 offers support. Resistance is at 1359 Above that resistance is at 1377 to 1386.

 

The Lively Livestock

April Cattle recommended position long at 6522

Resistance is at 6607 then 6617 and 6682. Traders can sell at 6672 for a quick turn lower. Risk a close over 6757 for two days in a row

Nearby Support is at 6532 and 6522 to 6492. Below that 6457 should hold, traders can buy at 6432 for a good bounce, initially plan on risking a close under 6427 for two days in a row.

Feb. Hogs

Support is at 4087 , day traders can buy at 4087 for a bounce ,risk 50 pts.. Below that 3992 should hold.

Resistance is at 4167 then 4192. Beyond that sellers should appear near 4237 and 4287.

April Hogs recommended position short at 4307 and 4375

Resistance is at 4387. Day Traders can sell at 4387 for a quick turn lower, risk 70 pts. Above that resistance is at 4447 and 4487 then 4507. Beyond that 4527 should cap a rally. Support is at 4307 and 4287 , below that 4187 should hold.

From the Frying Pan into the Fire--

Feb. Bellies

Nearby Support should appear near 5602 then 5567 and 5457

Resistance is at 5692 and 5752 beyond that good sellers should appear near 5812 and 5902.

The Sensational Stock and Bond Markets

March Bonds

On The DownSide, nearby support is at 126-22 to 126-18, day traders can buy at 126-18 , risk a trade under 126-06 as a close under 126-07 augurs for a test of the 125-05 to 124-20 region. Traders can buy at 125-04 for a good 2-3 day bounce, risk a close under 124-24 for three days in a row.

On the Upside: Resistance is at 127-07 beyond that resistance should appear near 128-07. Traders can go short at 128-05, risk a close over 128-12 for three days in a row.

 

March SP500

On the DownSide

Support is at 1232, a extended slip under is negative and augurs for an eventual test of 1223.90 and 1219.30 to 1218. Below that 1203 to 1192 should hold for a bit.

On the Upside, Resistance is at 1235.30 and 1238 then 1251.30 to 1253. Above that sellers should appear near 1255.90. a close over 1255.90 is friendly and augurs for a test of 1268 and 1271 then 1274.

Stay tuned for Flashes ...

Dow Jones Industrial Avg.

Support is at 9232 and 9156 to 9140, a close under 9140 is negative and augurs for a test of the 9060 to 9044 region. Below that 9064 to 8934/ 8929 should hold.

Resistance is near 9316 and 9347 then 9429 to 9445/ 9448 and 9526 to 9542.

Beyond that 9618 to 9625. 9641 offers good resistance. A close over 9641 augurs for a test of 9707 to 9737. Above that, 9821 to 9837 should Cap a Rally for a bit..

A ship in Harbor is Safe.. But that's not what ships are built for.

Happy Trading

Bill

01/22/1999 7:09 AM

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