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Morning Comments  (MC) Wed, August 25, 1999

 Bonds.. SP500.. Forex.. Precious Metals.. Energies..Grains.. Livestock.. Softs

Featuring Bi-Weekly Investment Outlooks,  Special Reports,  Morning Comments and More

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Wed  August 25, 1999
6:00 AM

On the Frenzied Forex Front

Sept. Japanese-Yen

Early Support  is at 9016 then 8974 to 8964 and 8934.a close under 8964 is negative and augurs for a test of 8871.

Nearby Resistance is at  9045 to 9060 above that good sellers should appear near  9082.. Beyond that resistance is at 9118 to 9134.  

Sept. D-Mark

Support  should appear at 5344 a close under 5344 augurs for a test of the 5282 to 5256 region and 5211 to 5200.

 

Resistance is at 5400  then 5418 and 5430  Beyond that sellers should appear near 5450  and the 5492 to 5504 region.

Day Traders can sell at 5418 and risk 40 pts.

Sept. Swiss

Nearby Support  is at 6509 to 6482 region. Below that 6430 to 6417 should hold  BW  traders can buy at 6430 for a bounce, risk a close under 6417 for two days in a row.

 

Resistance is at  6591. Day Traders can sell at 6591 and hold for lower prices..
Beyond that sellers should appear near 6636 to 6645 and the 6659 to 6673 region.

 

Sept. British Pound

Support should appear near 1.5836  and 1.5760 to 1.5690. Aggressive  BW traders can buy at 1.5760 and hold. ..

Resistance is at 1.5960 and  1.6090  to 1.6120  Beyond that resistance should appear

near 1.6550.

 

Sept. Canadian Dollar

Support should appear  the 6673 to 6659  region.  Under that support is at 6629 to 6626.. where buyers should appear and stop the break..

 

Resistance is at  6707 a close over 6707 is friendly and augurs for a test of  the 6741 to 6755 region..

 

Stay tuned for FuturesCom's  Forex flashes 

 

 

Precious Metals

 

Dec. Gold

Nearby Support is at  255.2 and 252.60.

Resistance is at  257, a close over 257 is friendly and augurs for an eventual test of 261

to 262. 

 

Dec. Copper

Nearby Support  is at 7620 and 7575.   Below that support is at 7435 and 7325

Aggressive  BW traders can buy at 7345, risk a close under 7250 for two days in a row..

 

Nearby Resistance is near 7725 and 7775 to 7800 then 7835 and 7890 

 

Oct. Platinum 

Support  is at  345 to 344 and 340.

Resistance is at 351 to 354.  Above that resistance should appear near the 356.8 and 360

 

Dec. Silver

On the DownSide nearby support is at  508 to 505.  BW Traders can buy at 505 for a bounce.  Risk a close under 491 for two days in a row. 

 

On the Upside. Nearby resistance is at 519 to 521 and 524. A close over 521 is friendly and augurs for an eventual test of 543   

 

Trade Accordingly and Stay tuned for Flashes...

 

The Exciting Energies

Oct. Crude

Nearby Support is at  2134 to 2126 and the 2088 to 2080 region.  BW Traders can buy at 2088 and risk a close under 2080  for three days in a row

 

Resistance  is at 2155 then 2170 and 2193  beyond that sellers should appear near  2219 to 2226 and the 2267 to 2275 region.  BW Traders can sell at 2267 for a turn lower, risk a close over 2275 for two days in a row. Above that 2315 to 2322 offers resistance. 

 

Oct. Unleaded Gas

Support is at 6270 to 6255 then 6195 and 6137  Below that support is at 5957 to 5945

Resistance should appear near  6337 to 6350 and 6418 to 6430 Beyond that resistance is at 6455 and  6480 to 6509  which should cap the rally if not BW Traders can sell at 6577 and risk a close over 6591 for two days in a row

 

Oct. Heating Oil

Nearby Support is at 5729 to 5716 and 5685 the 5643 and 5617 a close under 5617  augurs for a test of  5504

Resistance is at 5855 to 5880  Beyond that sellers should appear near the 5945 and  the 6023 to 6035  region aggressive  BW traders can sell at 6023 and hold for lower prices

 

Trade Accordingly.

 

The Grand Grains

November Beans

Nearby Resistance is at 469 and 477 1/4 to 479  beyond that resistance is at 482 3/4..   A close 482 3/4 is friendly and augurs for a  test of 496 and eventually 508 3/4.

Nearby  Support is at  464 and 455 then 452 1/4..

 

Dec. Soybean Meal

Resistance is at 145.3 to 145.9 and 149.6  A close  over 149.6 is friendly and augurs for a test of 156. 

Support is near 141.6 and 138.2 to 137.7

 

Dec. SoyBean Oil

Resistance is at 1731 to 1738 and  1774 to 1780 beyond that a test of the 1802 to 1822  region is likely.

Support is at 1696 to 1689  Day traders can buy at 1698 and hold for higher prices  Below that support is at 1678 and  the 1655 region.

 

Trade Accordingly and Stay tuned

 

Dec. Corn

Resistance is at 219 and 221 3/4 .

Support is at  215. Below that support is at 213, BW traders can buy at 213 and risk a close under 207 1/2  for three days in a row

 

Dec. Wheat 

Resistance is at 287 and 291.1/2  A close over 291 3/4 is friendly and augurs for a test of 295 to 297 

Support is at 283 1/4 under that 279 3/4 offers support.

 

                      The Satisfying Softs

Dec. Cotton

On the DownSide support is near the  5211/ 5200 region. Under that 5159 to 5127 should hold.. Aggressive  BW traders can buy at 5127 and hold..

On the Upside Nearby Resistance is at 5270 and 5330 then 5356..

 

Oct. Sugar  

Nearby Support is at  601 and 595 under that 586 to 581 should hold..    BW Traders can buy at 583 and risk a close under  568 for three days in a row.

Resistance should appear at 620 and the 630 to 634 region.

 

Trade Accordingly.

 

Dec. 'The Monster'   Coffee 

On the Upside, Resistance is at  9315 to 9340. beyond that sellers should appear near 9445 to 9460 and the 9545 to 9560  region.. a close over 9560 is friendly

 

On the DownSide,  support is at 9155 to 9140.  High Risk Day traders can buy at 9155 and hold for higher prices... Under that support is at 9060 to 9045 and 8954 to 8935.

 

Stay tuned...

 

Dec. Cocoa

Support  is at 955 and 941 to 932 region under that  918 to 907 should hold..

Day traders can buy at 941 and hold for higher prices..

Resistance is at 968 to 972 Above that sellers should appear  near 989 

 

The Lively Livestock

Oct. Cattle

Support is at 6442 and 6427 to 6417. BW Traders can buy at 6432 for a turn higher, Risk a close under 6337 for three days in a row. Below that buyers should appear near

6352 to 6337..

 

Resistance is at 6492 and 6512 then 6567 and 6597

 

Oct. Hogs
Support is at  4547.  Below that  4517 to 4502 offers support.   Under that 4452 should hold.. day traders can buy at 4452 and risk 50 pts.

Resistance is at 4647 to 4652 and 4697 to 4717 beyond that resistance is at 4747 to 4762 .Day traders can sell at 4737 for a quick turn lower, risk 50 pts.

 

 

Stay Tuned for  Hog and Belly Flashes.  

 

 

The Sensational Stock and Bond Markets

 

Dec. Bonds

On The DownSide nearby support is at 114-28 under that support is at 114-21 and 

114-03 to 113-28

On the Upside Nearby  Resistance is at 115-15  is likely..  Beyond that sellers should appear near 115-27 to 115-29

 

Sept. SP 500

On the DownSide Nearby Support is at 1373.70 and 1366.90 then  1361.50 to 1358.70  Day traders who have ice Water running through their veins can buy at 1361.50  and  hold for higher prices. Below that support is at 1356..40 and 1352 then 1346.

Nearby Resistance is at 1377 to 1383. Beyond that sellers should appear near 1399 to 1402 

 

Stay tuned for Flashes!

 

Dow Jones Industrial Avg.
Support is at 11,228.8 and 11,155  below that support is at 11,085 to 11,078 and 11,010 under that 10,960 should hold.

Resistance should appear near the 11,300  and 11,330 to 11,360.. Beyond that resistance is at 11,430 and 11,500. 

 

A ship in Harbor is Safe.. But that's not what ships are built for.

 

Happy Trading

Bill 

 

Wed Aug. 25 1999
7:11 AM

 

THIS PUBLICATION CONTAINS THE VIEW AND OPINIONS OF THE AUTHOR, EXCEPT WHERE OPINIONS ARE ATTRIBUTED TO OTHER SOURCES. WRITTEN PERMISSION IS. REQUIRED PRIOR TO ANY DISTRIBUTION OR REPRODUCTION. FUTURES TRADING IS RISKY AND CAN CAUSE SUBSTANTIAL FINANCIAL LOSS. THE USE OF OPTIONS AND OPTION TRADING INVOLVES A HIGH DEGREE OF RISK. THE USE OF STOPS MAY NOT LIMIT LOSSES TO INTENDED AMOUNTS. SPREAD POSITIONS MAY NOT BE LESS RISKY THAN OUTRIGHT FUTURES POSITIONS. PAST RESULTS ARE NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. SOURCES ARE BELIEVED TO BE RELIABLE BUT NO ASSURANCE IS MADE FOR ACCURACY. ADDITIONAL RISK DISCLOSURE IS AVAILABLE.

 

MC recommended Open Pos. NONE

 

BW recommended Open Pos.

Long  Dec. Gold at  261.2

Long Dec. Cotton at 5489

Long Dec. Bean Oil at 1703

Short Sept. Yen at 8723

Long Dec. Coffee at 9750

Long 2 Dec. Silver at 525.8 avg.

Long  2 Dec. Wheat at 288 1/4 avg.
Short Oct. Heating Oil at 5830

Long Sept. British Pounds at 1.6188 and 1.5936
Long Oct. Sugar at 610

 

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